Diagnostic accuracy of the electrocardiogram in pulmonary hypertension

L. Ley (Bad Nauheim)1, C. Wiedenroth (Bad Nauheim)2, S. Guth (Bad Nauheim)3, C. Gold (Frankfurt am Main)4, A. Yogeswaran (Gießen)5, A. Ghofrani (Bad Nauheim)6, D. Bandorski (Bad Salzhausen)7
1Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen, Campus Kerckhoff Bad Nauheim, Deutschland; 2Kerckhoff Klinik GmbH Herz- und Thoraxzentrum Bad Nauheim, Deutschland; 3Kerckhoff-Klinik GmbH Thoraxchirurgie Bad Nauheim, Deutschland; 4Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt Med. Klinik III - Kardiologie, Angiologie Frankfurt am Main, Deutschland; 5Universitätsklinikum Gießen und Marburg GmbH Medizinische Klinik II - Pneumologie Gießen, Deutschland; 6Kerckhoff Klinik GmbH Allgemeine Pneumologie Bad Nauheim, Deutschland; 7Asklepios Neurologische Klinik Bad Salzhausen, Deutschland
Background:
Pulmonary hypertension (PH) mostly causes distressing symptoms, a reduced quality of life and an increased mortality rate. PH can also cause characteristic electrocardiographic changes. Although the electrocardiogram (ECG) is a rapid, simple, non-invasive and ubiquitously available test and studies suggest that the echocardiogram only diagnoses PH with a sensitivity and specificity of 83-85% and 72-74%, the ECG does not play a major role in the current ESC/ERS guidelines. The aim of the present study was to explore the diagnostic accuracy of ECG parameters for the diagnosis of PH.

Methods:
The present study was conducted as a bicentric, retrospective study in two German high volume referral centres for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH). Between 07/2012 and 11/2023, each 100 patients without PH (control group), with PAH (PAH group) and with CTEPH (CTEPH group), all confirmed by right heart catheterisation, were retrospectively enrolled.

Results:
A total of 300 patients were included. The control group [median pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP): 16 mm Hg, median pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR): 128 dyn∗sec∗cm−5], PAH (median mPAP: 47 mm Hg, median PVR: 716 dyn∗sec∗cm−5) and CTEPH (median mPAP: 40 mm Hg, median PVR: 536 dyn∗sec∗cm−5) groups consisted of 55%, 57% and 52% women (median age: 60.8, 65.7 and 63.2 years). Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of electrocardiographic parameters for the diagnosis of PH varied from 3-98%, 3-100%, 43-100% and 36-70% with mean values of 39%, 87%, 83% and 59%. ‘’QRS axis associated with right heart strain” showed the highest Youden index (0.53) and was able to diagnose PH with a sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV of 60%, 93%, 90% and 70%. In severe PH, sensitivity and PPV was higher than in non-severe PH. The currently applied cut-off’s of all analysed ECG parameters were found to be not optimal for PH diagnosis and were adjusted. After optimisation, sensitivity (range: from 3-98% to 29-81%, mean: from 39% to 66%) and Youden index (range: from -0.18-0.53 to -0.22-0.68, mean: from 0.26 to 0.40) increased significantly but specificity (range: from 3-100% to 37-92%, mean: from 87% to 74%) slightly decreased. After optimisation, the parameter “(RI + SIII) - (SI + RIII)” showed the highest Youden index (0.68). A new cut-off (< -0.05 mV) was able to diagnose PH with a sensitivity of 76% and specificity of 92% (AUC: 0.86, accuracy: 0.78).

Conclusions:
The currently applied cut-off’s seem more suitable for excluding PH, while some ECG parameters with a more optimal cut-off may have the same diagnostic accuracy as the echocardiogram for the diagnosis of PH. 
 
 
 
Table 1 Sensitivity and specificity of selected electrocardiographic parameters for the diagnosis of pulmonary hypertension
Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV
QRS axis associated with right heart strain*, % 60 93 90 70
P dextroatriale or P biatriale, % 42 99 98 63
Right or biventricular hypertrophy (SLI), % 45 92 85 63
qR pattern in V1, % 14 98 88 53
Right bundle branch block, % 35 89 76 58
R/S in V1 > 1.0, % 41 99 98 63
R V1, V2 + S I, aVL - S V1 > 0.6 mV, % 52 97 95 67
R V1 + S V5, V6 > 1.05 mV, % 32 99 97 59
Time to R peak in V1 (QRS < 120 ms) > 35 ms, % 61 85 80 69
*: QRS axis > 90°, SIQIII type or SISIISIII type, NPV: negative predictive value, PPV: positive predictive value, SLI: Sokolow-Lyon index